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China: An Agri-Food Prosperctus
TNC ONLINE   2012-12-01 21:41:36 Author:Brad Gilmour and Bruce Phillips Source: Font size:[Large][Middle][Small]
Suggested Citation: 
Gilmour, Brad and Bruce Phillips (2012). China: An Agri-Food Prosperctus. Transnational Corporations Review. Page 56-64, Volume 4, Number 1, March 2012.
Transnational Corporations Review
ISSN 1918-6444 (Print), ISSN 1925-2099 (Online)
Edited by Ottawa United Learning Academy
Published by Denfar Transnational Development
Volume 4, Number 1, March 2012, 56-64

Authors: Brad Gilmour and Bruce Phillips

Abstract: China accounts for 21 percent of the world’s population and is one of the world’s fastest growing economies. The value of production within China’s agri-food sector now ranks first in the world. In this paper, we embrace a multidisciplinary approach to assess prospects for China’s production, consumption and trade in agri-food products for the next decade. Key drivers and determinants include urbanization, China’s current demographic dividend and prospective demographic deficit, the nature and sequence of infrastructure development and water governance. The expiry of China’s “demographic dividend” and water scarcity challenges are arguably the biggest challenges going forward.

Keywords: China, agri-food sector, water governance, demographic dividend, infrastructure

Selected References

National Bureau of Statistics (various years) China Statistical Yearbook. Beijing.
Coyle, W., Gilmour, B and W. Armbruster (2004) Where will demographics take the Pacific Rim’s Food System?, Amber Waves, USDA-ERS, Washington, July.
Fan, S. 1997. “Production and Productivity Growth in Chinese Agriculture: New Measurement and Evidence” Food Policy 22 (3, June): 213-228.
Gale, F., Lohmar, B, and Tuan, F. (2009). How Tightly Has China Embraced Market Reforms in Agriculture?” Amber Waves, Vol.7, pp. 30–35.
Hu, R., K. Shi, Y. Cui, and J. Huang. 2007. “China’s Agricultural Research Investment and International Comparison.” Working Paper, Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing.
Huang, J., and S. Rozelle. 1996. “Technological Change: The Re-Discovery of the Engine of Productivity Growth in China’s Rice Economy.” Journal of Development Economics 49: 337-369.
Lin, J.Y. 1992. “Rural Reform and Agricultural Growth in China.” American Economic Review 82: 34-51.  
OECD (2006b): Environment, Water Resources and Agricultural Policies: Lessons from China and OECD Countries, (Gilmour, B and A Kweizinski, eds.) Paris.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook, 2010-2019.  
Bernard H. Sonntag, Jikun Huang, Scott Rozelle and John H. Skerritt (2005) China’s Agricultural and Rural Development in the Early 21st Century Australian Centre for International Agricultural Research.

United Nations (2010) Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects.

World Trade Atlas. 2011.

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